Disproportionate Rewards

The International Monetary Fund reported an unpleasant outlook for the U.S. economy on Wednesday.  The IMF, as part of its annual review, believes the U.S. economic model isn’t working as well as it could to generate shared income growth.

 

Supping with the IMF (we recommend trying to avoid invitations to structurally adjusted suppers if possible. Their air of finality is reportedly unbearable). [PT]

 

On the same day, in an unrelated interview on PBS Newshour , billionaire investor Warren Buffett offered a similar outlook:

 

“The real problem, in my view, is — this has been — the prosperity has been unbelievable for the extremely rich people.

“If you go to 1982, when Forbes put on their first 400 list, those people had [a total of] $93 billion.  They now have $2.4 trillion, [a multiple of] 25 for one.  This has been a prosperity that’s been disproportionately rewarding to the people on top.”

 

No doubt, U.S. wealth has become exceedingly concentrated into a very small number of hands over the last 40 years.  At the same time the middle class has been hollowed out into a shell of its former self.  Wages have stagnated.  Well-paying jobs that could support a family on a single income have disappeared.

On the other hand, asset prices, like stocks and real estate, have gone sky high. These increases in asset price have served to magnify wealth at the upper end of the wealth spectrum while pricing out everyone else, particularly millennials with entry level incomes and massive student loan debt.

Certainly, asset prices will crash again like in 2000-02 and 2007-09.  But this won’t do anything to balance out middle class incomes.  What to do about it?  Both the IMF and Buffett offer several recommendations…

 

The homely sage is known for frequently complaining that he “doesn’t pay enough in taxes”. But nothing would be easier than to cut the IRS a check voluntarily. We’re sure they would gladly take his money. Funny enough, after realizing that he couldn’t take the loot with him to the grave, Buffett decided not to trust the State with his moolah after all – instead he gave it away to a private foundation. That is exactly how it should be. Zthroughout history many of America’s self-made rich – including the much bemoaned “robber barons” of the Gilded Age – were well-known for their generous philanthropy. Throwing money into the insatiable maw of the State so that politicians can waste it would be utterly insane, which is why Buffett has presumably avoided doing so to the best of his legal possibilities for his entire life (we have little doubt he and his company employ an army of accountants and tax consultants to make sure of that).  So when he publicly complains that he doesn’t pay enough in taxes, he probably means to say that you don’t pay enough. [PT]

Photo credit: AP Images

 

Insider Claims to the Pie

The clever fellows at the IMF identified with careful detail and delicate precision how to go about fixing the U.S. economy to “ensure a broad-based improvement in living standards.”  Their recommendations even include the “need to incorporate reforms on multiple, macro-critical fronts.”

We’re not quite sure what that all means.  Fortunately, the IMF dumbed it down for us into a single sentence synopsis of what’s needed to improve living standards across the income spectrum:

 

[B]uilding a more efficient tax system, improving education and developing skills, reprioritizing federal spending, improving the effectiveness of the regulatory system, and reforming the immigration and welfare systems.”

 

Piece of cake, right?  A splash of this.  A dash of that.  Before you can say Jack Robinson the policy makers have mixed up just the right policy elixir.  Higher living standards for all are attainable in our time.

Yet this makes the erroneous assumption that Congress will snub its individual commitments to lobbyists and special interests.  These commitments, remember, include applications of massive amounts of lard to all efforts at tax reform, education improvements, regulations, spending allocations, and immigration and welfare policy.

 

An illustration of the little flaw the IMF’s planners have overlooked. This image is a little dated, as the size of the IOU is approaching $20 trillion by now. Other than that, the illustration is timeless. [PT]

Cartoon via goldseek.com

 

For every reform effort, there are armies of special interests that have already bought a claim to a piece of the pie.  Instead of streamlining persistent drags on the economy, government reforms increase them.  The insiders get their bread buttered on both sides and the politicians get their campaigns financed.

The broad populace – that’s you – is left paying for programs that don’t work, which the country can’t afford. The reality is, the recommendations offered by the IMF are impossible for the U.S. government of the early 21st century to execute.   And, as elaborated below, they are also pointless.

 

Work is for Idiots

Buffett’s recommendations, on the other hand, are more lofty.  Specifically, Buffett wants rich people to give their money away.  In fact, that’s what he and fellow billionaire Bill Gates are doing.  They even co-founded the GivingPledge so that rich people can make a voluntary commitment to give away at least half of their wealth.

The goal of the GivingPledge, you see, is not only to help those in need.  But to encourage others to do the same.  They call it a commitment to philanthropy. Surely, this is a noble cause.  Certainly, if you are super rich, it helps flatter your ego.  But what good is it, really?

 

Uncle Warren outed himself as a bit of a crony capitalist during the GFC if memory serves. He certainly advocated the employment of tax payer money to support companies he had pretty sizable interests in at the time – and he ultimately profited handsomely from the crisis, as a 100% side effect of assorted bail-outs and massive money printing by the Fed. Oddly enough, he has never had anything critical to say about the monetary system – on the contrary, if anything, he has frequently voiced his disdain for the most sound currency known to man.  [PT]

Illustration by Alexander Hunter

 

Does giving people money for nothing help them or handicap them?  Moreover, does it correct the inherent injustice perpetrated by misguided, or perhaps sinister, monetary policies which inhibit people from being self-supporting through their own contributions?

When it comes down to it, the IMF’s and Buffett’s recommendations merely rearrange the deck chairs as the Titanic takes on water.  Even if they’re executed with flawless perfection these recommendations won’t stop the ship’s hull from filling up and sinking.

 

Unfortunately many of today’s self-anointed world improvers are not without their flaws. We have nothing against their charitable efforts as such, but their political agenda is often marred by hypocrisy. And we do of course agree with Matt that hand-outs are not the best help people can be offered. An environment that encourages self-help by making it worthwhile is worth a lot more. [PT]

 

As far as we can tell, a trifecta of offenses has over taken the U.S. economy that debase the rewards of hard work, saving money, and paying one’s way.  Plain and simple, central bank fiat money creation, multiplied by commercial banks through fractional-reserve banking, propagates financial and economic chaos.

For each new digital monetary credit the banking system creates, value is subtracted from the existing money stock.  This has the ill effect of covertly confiscating wealth from people’s wages and savings while inflating asset prices.

It also has the ill effect of reducing the idea of ‘an honest day’s work for an honest day’s pay’ to a fool’s tale. Thanks to the Fed, hard work is now for idiots.  The dole pays better for more and more people.  After that, gambling and gaming schemes offer more opportunity.

 

A chart our readers should know quite well by now – the US true broad money supply TMS-2. There is now 4.32 times more money in the US economy than 18 years ago.  It is an apodictic certainty that each money unit is worth a lot less than it would otherwise be.  It is by the way irrelevant in this context that consumer prices have risen at a significantly slower pace than the money supply – that only means that they would have declined absent this increase. Consumers still ended up paying a lot more for everything than they should be paying and incomes and savings that are worth less than they should be worth. As an aside, the notion – much-beloved by central bankers – that declining consumer prices are somehow “bad” for the economy is complete balderdash. This can be shown both theoretically and empirically – this is even admitted in the Fed’s own historical studies. [PT] – click to enlarge.

 

Until the Fed’s mischief is stopped, and Federal Reserve Notes are replaced with honest money, no IMF policy recommendation, philanthropic commitment, or silly minimum wage increase, will do a lick for rewarding hard work with equitable pay.  All efforts otherwise are merely noise.

 

Chart by: St. Louis Fed

 

Chart and image captions by PT

 

MN Gordon is President and Founder of Direct Expressions LLC, an independent publishing company. He is the Editorial Director and Publisher of the Economic Prism – an E-Newsletter that tries to bring clarity to the muddy waters of economic policy and discusses interesting investment opportunities.

 

 

 

Emigrate While You Can... Learn More

 


 

 
 

Dear Readers!

You may have noticed that our so-called “semiannual” funding drive, which started sometime in the summer if memory serves, has seamlessly segued into the winter. In fact, the year is almost over! We assure you this is not merely evidence of our chutzpa; rather, it is indicative of the fact that ad income still needs to be supplemented in order to support upkeep of the site. Naturally, the traditional benefits that can be spontaneously triggered by donations to this site remain operative regardless of the season - ranging from a boost to general well-being/happiness (inter alia featuring improved sleep & appetite), children including you in their songs, up to the likely allotment of privileges in the afterlife, etc., etc., but the Christmas season is probably an especially propitious time to cross our palms with silver. A special thank you to all readers who have already chipped in, your generosity is greatly appreciated. Regardless of that, we are honored by everybody's readership and hope we have managed to add a little value to your life.

   

Bitcoin address: 12vB2LeWQNjWh59tyfWw23ySqJ9kTfJifA

   
 

One Response to “Work is for Idiots”

Your comment:

You must be logged in to post a comment.

Most read in the last 20 days:

  • America Goes Full Imbecile
      Credit has a wicked way of magnifying a person’s defects.  Even the most cautious man, with unlimited credit, can make mistakes that in retrospect seem absurd.  But an average man, with unlimited credit, is preeminently disposed to going full imbecile.   Let us not forget about this important skill...  [PT]   Several weeks ago we came across a woeful tale of Mike Meru.  Somehow, this special fellow, while of apparent sound mine and worthy intent, racked up...
  • In Gold We Trust, 2018
      The New In Gold We Trust Report is Here! As announced in our latest gold market update last week, this year's In Gold We Trust report by our good friends Ronald Stoeferle and Mark Valek has just been released. This is the biggest and most comprehensive gold research report in the world, and as always contains a wealth of interesting new material, as well as the traditional large collection of charts and data that makes it such a valuable reference work for gold...
  • “Sell in May” Chart Update - The Impressive Market Weakness in the Summer Half-Year All Over the World
      The Details Plotted In the last issue of Seasonal Insights I showed you the statistics associated with the popular truism “sell in May and go away” in the countries with the eleven largest stock markets. The comparison divided the calendar year into a summer half-year from May to October and a winter half-year from November to April. In all eleven countries, the winter half-year outperformed the summer half-year. As announced on that occasion, here are the details for all countries...
  • Who’s That Ringing the Korean Bell of Friendship?
      Friends and Enemies Do citizens of the United States trust their government will do what’s right?  It depends who you ask. By and large, the esteem the American populace holds its government in is likely a small fraction of what it was roughly 65 years ago.  That was when Lieutenant General William Kelly Harrison Jr. signed the Korean Armistice Agreement.  Certainly, in days gone by representatives of other nations held the U.S. government in higher regard.   The most...
  • Credit Spreads: Polly is Twitching Again - in Europe
      Junk Bond Spread Breakout The famous dead parrot is coming back to life... in an unexpected place. With its QE operations, which included inter alia corporate bonds, the ECB has managed to suppress credit spreads in Europe to truly ludicrous levels. From there, the effect propagated through arbitrage to other developed markets. And yes, this does “support the economy” - mainly by triggering an avalanche of capital malinvestment and creating the associated boom conditions, while...
  • Retail Capitulation – Precious Metals Supply and Demand
      Small Crowds, Shrinking Premiums The prices of gold and silver rose five bucks and 37 cents respectively last week. Is this the blast off to da moon for the silver rocket of halcyon days, in other words 2010-2011?   Various gold bars. Coin and bar premiums have been shrinking steadily (as have coin sales of the US Mint by the way), a sign that retail investors have lost interest in gold. There are even more signs of this actually, and this loss of interest stands in stark...
  • Wild Speculation in Crude Oil - Precious Metals Supply and Demand
      Crude Oil Market Structure – Extremes in Speculative Net Long Positions On May 28, markets were closed so this Report is coming out a day later than normal. The price of gold rose nine bucks, and the price of silver 4 pennies. With little action here, we thought we would write 1,000 words’ worth about oil. Here is a chart showing oil prices and open interest in crude oil futures.   WTIC (West Texas Intermediate crude) price and futures open interest – the vast increase...
  • Industrial Commodities vs. Gold - Precious Metals Supply and Demand
      Oil is Different Last week, we showed a graph of rising open interest in crude oil futures. From this, we inferred — incorrectly as it turns out — that the basis must be rising. Why else, we asked, would market makers carry more and more oil?   Crude oil acts differently from gold – and so do all other industrial commodities. What makes them different is that the supply of industrial commodities held in storage as a rule suffices to satisfy industrial demand only for a...
  • Gold Divergences Emerge
      Bad Hair Day Produces Positive Divergences On Friday the ongoing trade dispute between the US and China was apparently escalated by a notch to the next level, at least verbally. The Trump administration announced a list of tariffs that are supposed to come into force in three week's time and China clicked back by announcing retaliatory action. In effect, the US government said: take that China, we will now really hurt our own consumers!  - and China's mandarins replied: just you wait, we...
  • Chasing the Wind
      Futility with Purpose Plebeians generally ignore the tact of their economic central planners.  They care more that their meatloaf is hot and their suds are cold, than about any plans being hatched in the capital city.  Nonetheless, the central planners know an angry mob, with torches and pitchforks, are only a few empty bellies away.  Hence, they must always stay on point.   Watch for those pitchfork bearers – they can get real nasty and then heads often roll quite literally....
  • Lift-Off Not (Yet) - Precious Metals Supply and Demand
      Wrong-Way Event Last week we said something that turned out to be prescient:   This is not an environment for a Lift Off Event.   An unfortunate technical mishap interrupted the latest moon-flight of the gold rocket. Fear not true believers, a few positive tracks were left behind. [PT]   The price of gold didn’t move much Mon-Thu last week, though the price of silver did seem to be blasting off. Then on Friday, it reversed hard. We will provide a forensic...

Support Acting Man

Item Guides

TechyBeasts
j9TJzzN

The Review Insider

Dog Blow

Austrian Theory and Investment

Archive

350x200

THE GOLD CARTEL: Government Intervention on Gold, the Mega Bubble in Paper and What This Means for Your Future

Realtime Charts

 

Gold in USD:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

Gold in EUR:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

Silver in USD:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

Platinum in USD:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

USD - Index:

[Most Recent USD from www.kitco.com]

 

Mish Talk

 
Buy Silver Now!
 
Buy Gold Now!
 

Oilprice.com