Campfire Tale

 

Caesar: The Ides of March are come.

Soothsayer: Ay, Caesar, but not gone.

— Julius Caesar, Shakespeare

 

GRANADA, NICARAGUA – Today, we stop the horses and circle the wagons. For 19 years, we have been rolling along, exploring, discovering. We began with the assumption that we didn’t “know” anything – so we kept our eyes open. Now we know even less.

 

Famous people who knew nothing and were not shy to admit it: Sergeant Schultz (left), Socrates (right)…

 

But we’ve covered a lot of ground. So, let’s take a brief pause to get our bearings and to sit in front of the campfire and tell our tales. New readers of the Diary are invited to pull up a log. You need to know what we’ve seen so far. It will help make sense of what you read tomorrow and in the future. And, yes, this is going to take a little longer than a normal Diary.

We’ve been exploring a wilderness unknown to most humans – a money world that is very different from the way it is supposed to be. In the press lately are reports of “fake news.” Well, guess what? The money system is fake, too.

If you are an investor, or preparing to retire, or just someone who is interested in how the world works, listen up. Because it doesn’t work the way they tell you in the civics books, Economics 101 or in the mainstream press. It is much more complex, corrupt, and dangerous.

 

Pareto’s “Foxes”

But let’s start with the government, which controls – directly or indirectly – about half the U.S. economy. It was not intended to be so big, so powerful, and so intrusive. But then, it hardly resembles the blueprint described in the Constitution.

Elections matter a whole lot less than you think. As the great Italian economist Vilfredo Pareto explained, no matter what you call your government, over time, it will be taken over by the cunning insiders and hustlers he called “foxes.”

 

Italian economist Vilfredo Pareto (1848 – 1923), early Deep State spotter.

 

There are always some smart people able to manipulate, control, and subvert the government and use its police power (governments claim a monopoly on the use of violence) to get what they want. What do these foxes want?

Money. Power. Status. The usual. There is nothing underhanded about it. Nothing sinister or surprising. And you don’t need to believe in conspiracies to understand it. The subversion takes place right out in the open. But because it is so different from what we are looking for, we don’t even see it.

But it’s really very simple: You spend your time earning money. The foxes spend their time figuring out how to get it from you – by taxation, legislation, regulation, or an ingenious phony-money system.

 

Deep State

The concept of the “Deep State” was first applied to countries such as Turkey and Egypt. These are places where military-police-security insiders put screws to your thumbs, forcing you to do as you were told. Elections changed ruling parties and their leaders. But the real power was elsewhere.

Author Mike Lofgren popularized the use of the term in the U.S. But he had a much broader view of the Deep State. Lofgren:

 

The Deep State… is the story of our time. It’s the thin red line that runs through the war on terrorism, and a militarized foreign policy. Also the financialization and deindustrialization of the economy, and a social structure that has given us the most unequal income distribution in almost a century.

 

Former Congressional staffer Mike Lofgren realized that the Deep State concept originally  applied to describe the system of shadow rulers in Turkey was actually quite a useful term to describe the workings of Western welfare/warfare democracies as well.

 

Lofgren worked as a Congressional staffer with “top secret” clearance for decades. He noticed that business went on as usual regardless of which party won the White House.

Gradually, he came to see that the public spectacle we see on TV and call “politics” is only a small part of the governing system. The important decisions are made by the “foxes” – bureaucrats, lobbyists, campaign contributors, and crony businesses.

It was no accident, for example, that not a single member of Congress even bothered to read the Obamacare legislation – a sweeping program that affected almost everyone and altered one-seventh of the nation’s GDP. They knew there was nothing they could do about it.

 

Hybrid Association

The Deep State is big… diffuse… and adaptable. Lofgren calls it a “hybrid association” of key elements of government and parts of top-level finance and industry.

It is respectable – even prestigious – including university professors and think tank analysts as well as lobbyists and contractors. It doesn’t care which passport you hold, which party you vote for, or what you think.

It includes liberals and conservatives. Republicans as well as Democrats. Platonists and Aristotelians. Internally, these different interests compete for money and power.

The “conservatives,” for example, want to direct more of your money to the military-security industries. The “liberals” want to favor cronies in the social-welfare industries.

Even within sectors, there is competition. The Navy may want more ships. The Air Force may want more planes. The Army may want more tanks.

 

The Deep State meme has seen explosive growth lately… here is a collection of associated imagery.

 

Bread and Circuses

Most of the news you hear focuses on these battles within the Deep State to see who will get the most of your money. Elections shift the favors from one crony industry to another. The faces change. Budgets are adjusted, marginally.

But the major goal of the insiders remains: to keep the power and money headed in their direction. The headlines can rant about a victory for the Right or a defeat for the Left. But behind the scenes, the real winner is always the same: the Deep State itself.

That’s why, though President Obama and President George W. Bush were very different personalities with very different ideas, they kept the major programs going in the same direction for the last 16 years: war abroad and entitlements at home.

If the expression “war and entitlements” has a familiar ring to it, it is no accident. “Bread and circuses” was a similar expression 2,000 years ago. Not much has changed. Rome was an empire then. The U.S. is an empire now.

“Avoid foreign entanglements” was advice given to the new nation by its “father,” George Washington. But a century later, the advice was forgotten.

 

George Washington, founding father and provider of sage foreign policy advice. Apparently there wasn’t enough money and power in following sage foreign policy advice, and so it was promptly and thoroughly ignored.

 

And today, there is scarcely a foreign power anywhere in the world – no matter how insignificant – with which the U.S. doesn’t want to tangle, and no messy war, clumsy trade deal, squirrelly treaty, or wasteful foreign aid program that it doesn’t want to get entangled in.

 

“America First”

There are patterns in history as there are in an individual life. People are born. They grow up. They make mistakes. And then they die. So, too, does a nation grow. And if it is able – if it develops sufficient firepower – it becomes an empire, not just a nation among equals, but primus inter pares. It becomes “America First.”

America first took the road to empire around the same time that its GDP became the world’s largest – in the 1890s. President Teddy Roosevelt and newspaper mogul William Randolph Hearst ginned up the Spanish-American War.

 

The 1898 clarion call of war propaganda “remember the Maine, to hell with Spain” is still known today.  In order to get a largely uninterested US population on board with the war against Spain, an accidental explosion that sank the USS Maine was blamed on a non-existent Spanish torpedo by yellow press moguls Hearst and Pulitzer. Fake news was the bread and butter of the press at the time – as we all know, nowadays the MSM would never, ever shill for war.  When an artist hired by Hearst wanted to return from Cuba because absolutely nothing was happening there, Hearst reportedly replied:Please remain. You furnish the pictures and I’ll furnish the war.”  And he sure did “furnish”, in spades. The trick was repeated in the 1960s with the “Gulf of Tonkin incident” lie to get the population to back the Vietnam war. Then came the Kuwaiti “incubator babies”, then Saddam’s WMD (a real cluster bomb of lies)… every time the press and the government shill for war you can be fairly sure you are being lied to.

 

Roosevelt, vainglorious and bullheaded, pioneered the art of killing barely armed foreigners for Great National Purpose. His Rough Riders invaded Cuba and then the Philippines. As many as a quarter of a million Filipinos died to make English the country’s official language.

Obviously, the Philippines posed no threat to the safety of the United States of America. But when an empire’s blood is up, there is no stopping it. Empires follow paths of their own – dictated neither by voters nor by elected leaders.

People don’t necessarily want to have an empire. They don’t necessarily believe you when you tell them they have one, either. Most Americans – even today – believe they live in a republic governed by the Constitution.

But they come to think what they must think when they must think it. Empires require imperial thinking. People think that they should go to “war” with crime, drugs, and poverty at home. And overseas, they invade Vietnam… Grenada… Afghanistan… Iraq… you name it.

 

Hidden Motive

The wars are rarely “won” in a conventional sense. It is almost impossible to win them because the war aims are often unclear or simply unattainable.

In the War on Drugs, for example, the more the feds try to stop drug taking, the more the profit margins for illegal distributors fatten, attracting more dealers and more drugs.

And in the War on Terror, it is unlikely that victory is even conceivable. Terror is a tactic, not an enemy. It is not going to disappear. But as senseless as these wars appear, there is a hidden motive. Wars are profitable – for the Deep State and its war industries.

 

There is precisely zero mileage in war for the average citizen – he doesn’t become safer or better off because of it. But someone certainly benefits.

 

The wars provide a justification for shifting wealth from the real economy to the war economy. And from people who engage in win-win transactions – trading goods and services with each other to make each other’s lives better – to the win-lose economy of guns, prisons, and artificial legs.

Empires love wars. But America’s foreign wars – like so much else in our current monetary-government system – are fake. There is no real danger from the enemy.

None of America’s enemies from the past half-century were capable of invading the U.S., stealing our money, ravaging our women, or defeating our armies. These fake wars were simply a way of transferring money – from the people who earn it to the foxes in the war-fighting sector, including the Pentagon.

General Smedley Butler, who served in the Philippines as well as in World War I, was at his death the most highly decorated marine in history. He summed up his role:

 

I served in all commissioned ranks from a Second Lieutenant to a Major General. And during that time, I spent most of my time being a high class muscle-man for Big Business, for Wall Street, and for the Bankers.

 

“And for the politicians and the Deep State,” he might have added.

 

General Smedley Butler – in his old age he finally realized he had helped to perpetuate a giant racket and said so in no uncertain terms (by now it has become the greatest racket of all time).

Photo credit: latinamericanstudies.org

 

Mortal Blow

Like financial bubbles and love affairs, empires are unstable. Typically, an empire expands until it is either defeated or bankrupted – often both. As more and more of the economy is put on a war footing, less and less is available to produce real wealth.

Growth slows. Debts increase. Eventually, the debts implode… and the empire is out of business. Alternatively, or often in parallel, as the empire reaches farther and farther from its homeland, it creates more and more enemies.

Eventually, it is “overstretched” and is ready for a comeuppance – usually delivered as a mortal blow by the empire next in line. But America’s empire has a peculiar flaw – like a doomsday bug, embedded in its DNA.

Stay tuned for the rest of this campfire tale…

 

Image captions by PT

 

The above article originally appeared as “The Dollar Is Not Real Money… America Is No Real Republic  at the Diary of a Rogue Economist, written for Bonner & Partners. Bill Bonner founded Agora, Inc in 1978. It has since grown into one of the largest independent newsletter publishing companies in the world. He has also written three New York Times bestselling books, Financial Reckoning Day, Empire of Debt and Mobs, Messiahs and Markets.

 
 

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2 Responses to “The Unstable Empire – A Campfire Tale”

  • wmbean:

    The deep state exists for a reason, concentration of power. Think about that for a minute, Bill. The advent of the modern corporation contributes to the existence of the deep state. That is, as long as businesses were sole proprietorships of partnerships the legal consequences of the owners actions tended to put a damper on their activities. With the idea of trusts that concealed ownership many could avoid any legal actions for behaviors that were not in the best interest of the public. When business operations moved to the corporation with its limited liability then owners were off and running. Bigness was the order of the day. Government was still somewhat tamed until the civil service acts which protected the government employee from any wrongdoing and set that work force up to be unmanageable and unassailable. The deep state is that hell on the road that was paved with good intentions. With civil service reform we went from bureaucracies that served at the pleasure of the present administration to bureaucracies that serves at their own pleasure. Pareto was partially right. Twenty percent of the bureaucracy was corrupt and served the people badly, the other eight percent did the best that they could. But that twenty percent affects eighty percent of the out comes when it comes to bad management. Congress writes the laws while bureaucracies write the regulations. congress is subject to the will of the people (sometimes) while bureaucracies are subject to no one. This is your deep state and it wields undo power.

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