Financialization Genius

BALTIMORE – When we left you last time, we were in the middle of describing the crooked hind leg of crony capitalism. We used billionaire businessman Wilbur Ross – Donald Trump’s pick for the Department of Commerce – for illustration purposes. Not that there is anything wrong with Mr. Ross. He plays the game, just as everyone else does. He’s particularly good at it.

 

The steel magnate in his command center. He is one of a number of particularly alert entrepreneurs who were able to make the most of the bubble era ushered in by Nixon’s adoption of the confetti money system. And he even has a crystal ball! Obviously, that explains a lot.

Photo via timschaefermedia.com

 

But today, we’ll look at another Olympian money man – the chairman of Trump’s new Strategic and Policy Forum and private equity magnate, Stephen Schwarzman.

We remind readers that we are criticizing neither Mr. Schwarzman nor Mr. Trump. We’re just trying to understand how it works. Then we’ll take a guess about where it will lead.

Also on Mr. Trump’s new advisory board – which is supposed to help the president-elect bring jobs back to America – is former General Electric CEO Jack Welch.´Welch could provide an equally rich illustration of the “financialization” trend. He took a Main Street manufacturing and engineering firm – one of the most admired in the world – and turned it into a bubble-finance company.

After 600 acquisitions, GE was heavily in debt and deeply in the finance business. GE Capital – the company’s financial services unit and the tail that now wags this dog – has 35,000 employees and capital of half a trillion dollars.

GE shares sold for a split-adjusted $36 at the beginning of this century. Now, after the biggest wash of free money the stock market has ever seen, shareholders have been soaked; the stock is worth less than at its peak in 2000.

 

GE shareholders didn’t have much to celebrate over the past 16 years, unless they purchased the stock after the 2008 collapse. The US true money supply has more than quadrupled since 2000 and stock prices have been among the biggest beneficiaries of this enormous monetary inflation – but GE shareholders were left empty-handed anyway – click to enlarge.

 

Meanwhile, Jack walked away, taking with him the largest severance package in history – valued at about $420 million. As far as we know, Mr. Welch didn’t invent anything. He didn’t sing a hit song or star in a blockbuster movie.

He was a salaried employee of a well-established and profitable business… risking neither time nor money.  After Mr. Welch was finished with it, the business was in worse shape than it was when he took over at the helm. And yet, he ended up with a fortune estimated at more than $700 million.

That’s financialization!

 

Bubble profiteer Jack Welch – why is this man grinning you may ask? Simple: while GE shareholders buying into his legacy haven’t made a dime in 16 years, he walked away from the company with a $700 million fortune, not least due to a “golden parachute” of $420 million he received for jumping ship. Best of all, he didn’t have to take any personal risks to amass this huge pile of money.

Photo via jonathangifford.com

 

“Politicizing” Business

The only real revolution in human affairs began thousands of years ago and continues to this day: the gradual replacement of brute force with market-based persuasion. It is never all or nothing, of course. Politics will always be with us. So will markets.

A business that becomes “political” is a danger to its owners. Employees stab each other in the back, fight over choice offices, and scramble for a place in the corporate hierarchy. More important, they take the company’s eye off the ball and its vital capital out of the business. That’s what happened at GE.

Properly functioning free-market economies flush out these companies through the process of “creative destruction.” “Political” businesses can’t compete with companies that are focused on satisfying their customers and investing for the future.

But sometimes, entire economies become more political – and the people and companies in them react by becoming more political, too. That is really what happened to the U.S. economy over the last 40 years.

Smart hustlers teamed up with the government. And together they used the feds’ fake money, the feds’ fake savings, the feds’ fake interest rates, and the feds’ labyrinthine legislation and regulation to hijack wealth from the honest Main Street economy.

So, when we talk about how the U.S. economy was “financialized” after 1980, what really happened is that it was “politicized.” As politics became more pervasive, more of the nation’s output was up for grabs as spoils of politics.

 

As German sociologist and historian Franz Oppenheimer pointed out in his seminal work “The State”, there are two ways of obtaining income: by economic means (by trading with other market participants on a voluntary basis, offering goods and/or services to them), or by political means (essentially theft under the color of law). The former method creates the wealth that can be appropriated by the latter method. The latter method only works as long as a significant part of the population can be persuaded that the State is a legitimate agency that is actually different from other mafia type organizations. This is incidentally the main reason why education has been usurped by the State. The democratic State generally gives its citizens the opportunity to join those who obtain their income by political means and allows for “mixed” approaches as well, such as the cronyism discussed here. Although perhaps technically not incorrect, we hesitate to refer to it as crony capitalism, because capitalism has a definitive meaning to us and we see no point in besmirching the term (we would prefer if its original meaning as a term describing the free market economy were widely readopted). “Corporatism” or “fascism lite” may be better descriptors.

 

An Angel Everywhere

Curiously, even the political system itself becomes more political. It used to be that the Democrats and the Republicans held each other’s ambitions in check. The Democrats were in favor of wealth distribution at home. But they didn’t like to see the U.S. government throwing its money around overseas.

Republicans, on the other hand, considered the federal government a devil at home but an angel overseas. Now, both sides of the aisle have come together with high fives and bear hugs… the government is an angel everywhere, they’ve concluded.

 

Similar to many of the other founding fathers, James Madison was a fount of remarkably perceptive soundbites on politics. Here is he is telling us quite clearly why the “bi-partisan” war party alliance must be rejected by those who prefer liberty to tyranny (and who doesn’t?). Fighting monsters abroad and the blow-back it invites invariably leads to tyranny at home –  imperceptibly at first, but as time passes it certainly becomes ever more obvious. Thus there is now a “Patriot” act, a “Military Commissions Act”, a “National Defense Authorization Act”, a vast new security bureaucracy, ubiquitous surveillance of the citizenry, and a major drive to destroy all aspects of privacy and increase the power of agencies of the State. Ironically this is often justified with a famous Goebbels saying (“if you have nothing to hide, you have nothing to fear” – yes, Goebbels said it first). As Madison also remarked in this context: “Crisis is the rallying cry of the tyrant”.

 

So today, at home, 160 million Americans receive money from the feds – half of the nominal income gains in the last 16 years came from the feds’ “transfer payments” – and there are far more people getting money from “the government” than there are voters.

And overseas, according to the Watson Institute at Brown University, America’s hapless romp in the Middle East and the associated War on Terror has now cost $4.8 trillion.

The institute goes on to remark that the wars have been paid for “almost entirely by borrowing.” And that, by 2053, including interest charges, the total bill will reach almost $8 trillion.

 

Transfer payments – one of the world’s biggest “growth industries”. It keeps large parts of the population enthralled and unwilling to challenge the system – but it is also one of the things that guarantee the eventual demise of the system, because funding these payments becomes ever more difficult – and one day it will become impossible – click to enlarge.

 

Distributed among the voters, this would work out to about $61,538 apiece. But wait –  we’ve run out of time and space, and we haven’t even gotten to Mr. Schwarzman yet.

Stay tuned…

 

Charts by: StockCharts, St. Louis Federal Reserve Research

 

Chart and image captions by PT

 

The above article originally appeared as “Can Trump End the Reign of “Bubble Finance”?” at the Diary of a Rogue Economist, written for Bonner & Partners. Bill Bonner founded Agora, Inc in 1978. It has since grown into one of the largest independent newsletter publishing companies in the world. He has also written three New York Times bestselling books, Financial Reckoning Day, Empire of Debt and Mobs, Messiahs and Markets.

 

 
 

Emigrate While You Can... Learn More

 
 

 
 

Dear Readers!

You may have noticed that our so-called “semiannual” funding drive, which started sometime in the summer if memory serves, has seamlessly segued into the winter. In fact, the year is almost over! We assure you this is not merely evidence of our chutzpa; rather, it is indicative of the fact that ad income still needs to be supplemented in order to support upkeep of the site. Naturally, the traditional benefits that can be spontaneously triggered by donations to this site remain operative regardless of the season - ranging from a boost to general well-being/happiness (inter alia featuring improved sleep & appetite), children including you in their songs, up to the likely allotment of privileges in the afterlife, etc., etc., but the Christmas season is probably an especially propitious time to cross our palms with silver. A special thank you to all readers who have already chipped in, your generosity is greatly appreciated. Regardless of that, we are honored by everybody's readership and hope we have managed to add a little value to your life.

   

Bitcoin address: 1DRkVzUmkGaz9xAP81us86zzxh5VMEhNke

   
 

Your comment:

You must be logged in to post a comment.

Most read in the last 20 days:

  • What Do “Think Tanks” Think About?
      “Russiagate” WEST RIVER, MARYLAND – We’re back at our post – watching... reading... trying to connect the dots. And we begin by asking: What do “think tanks” think about? The answer in a minute. First, there is a dust-up in the Washington, D.C., area. “Russiagate,” it is called. As near as we can make out, some people think the Trump team had or has illegal or inappropriate contacts with the Russian government.   It's all very obvious, if one looks...
  • Parabolic Coin
      The Crypto-Bubble - A Speculator's Dream in Cyberspace When writing an article about the recent move in bitcoin, one should probably not begin by preparing the chart images. Chances are one will have to do it all over again. It is a bit like ordering a cup of coffee in Weimar Germany in early November 1923. One had to pay for it right away, as a cup costing one wheelbarrow of Reichsmark may well end up costing two wheelbarrows of Reichsmark half an hour later. These days the question is...
  • Quantitative Easing Explained
      [Ed. note: This article was originally posted in November of 2010 - we have decided to republish it with updated charts, as it has proved to be very useful as a reference - the mechanics of QE are less well understood than they should be, and this article explains them in detail.]   Printing Money We have noticed that lately, numerous attempts have been made to explain the mechanics of quantitative easing.  They range from the truly funny as in this by now 'viral' You Tube...
  • In Gold We Trust, 2017
      The 11th Annual In Gold We Trust Report This year's Incrementum In Gold We Trust report by our good friends Ronald Stoeferle and Mark Valek appears about one month earlier than usual (we already mentioned in our most recent gold update that it would become available soon). As always, the report is extremely comprehensive, discussing everything from fundamentals pertaining to gold, to technical analysis to statistical studies on the behavior of gold under different economic...
  • The Three Headed Debt Monster That’s Going to Ravage the Economy
      Mass Infusions of New Credit   “The bank is something more than men, I tell you.  It’s the monster.  Men made it, but they can’t control it.” – John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath   Something strange and somewhat senseless happened this week. On Tuesday, the price of gold jumped over $13 per ounce.  This, in itself, is nothing too remarkable.  However, at precisely the same time gold was jumping, the yield on the 10-Year Treasury note was slip sliding down...
  • Recession Watch Fall 2017
      One Ear to the Ground, One Eye to the Future Treasury yields are attempting to say something.  But what it is exactly is open to interpretation.  What’s more, only the most curious care to ponder it. Like Southern California’s obligatory June Gloom, what Treasury yields may appear to be foreshadowing can be somewhat misleading.   Behold, the risk-free tide...   Are investors anticipating deflation or inflation?  Are yields adjusting to some other market or...
  • Stocks, Bonds, Euro, and Gold Go Up – Precious Metals Supply and Demand
      Driven by Credit The jobs report was disappointing. The prices of gold, and even more so silver, took off. In three hours, they gained $18 and 39 cents. Before we try to read into the connection, it is worth pausing to consider how another market responded. We don’t often discuss the stock market (and we have not been calling for an imminent stock market collapse as many others have).   NYSE margin debt has reached new record highs this year, dwarfing previous peak...
  • Jayant Bhandari on Gold, Submerging Markets and Arbitrage
      Maurice Jackson Interviews Jayant Bhandari We are happy to present another interview conducted by Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable with our friend and frequent contributor Jayant Bhandari, a specialist on gold mining investment, the world's most outspoken emerging market contrarian, host of the highly regarded annual Capitalism and Morality conference in London and consultant to institutional investors.   As soon as Jayant touches down in London, he is accosted by...
  • Monetary Madness and Rabbit Consumption
      Down the Rabbit Hole “The hurrier I go, the behinder I get,” is oft attributed to the White Rabbit from Lewis Carroll’s, Alice in Wonderland.  Where this axiom appears within the text of the story is a mystery.  But we suspect the White Rabbit must utter it about the time Alice follows him down the rabbit hole.   Pick a rabbit to follow...   No doubt, today’s wage earner knows what it means to work harder, faster, and better, while slip sliding behind. ...
  • The Anatomy of Brown’s Gold Bottom – Precious Metals Supply and Demand
      The Socialist Politician-Bureaucrat with the Worst Timing Ever As most in the gold community know, the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown announced on 7 May, 1999 that HM Treasury planned to sell gold. The dollar began to rise, from about 110mg gold to 120mg on 6 July, the day of the first sale. This translates into dollarish as: gold went down, from $282 to $258. It makes sense, as the UK was selling a lot of gold... or does it?   Former UK chancellor of the...
  • Mexicans and Chinese Aren’t “Stealing Our Jobs”
      Tremendous Flop GUALFIN, ARGENTINA – Now comes a report from the Financial Times that tells us the nation’s No. 1 industry – home building – has been backing up for a quarter of a century. According to the newspaper, U.S. home builders “started work on the same number of houses in the past year as they did a quarter of a century ago, even though there are 36% more people working as residential builders now than then.”   Moat contractors have been particularly bad....
  • The Valium Era
      Don’t Be Fooled by These Calm Markets What is happening in the world of money? Well - the most striking thing is: nothing. It doesn’t seem to matter what happens. Dysfunction in Washington. Meltdown of the techs. No matter how rough the seas get, the markets glide along... scarcely noticing the storm-tossed waves below.   Thankfully the world's central planners are so well-versed in egging on the creation of an ever greater mountain of debt and seemingly limitless asset...

Support Acting Man

Austrian Theory and Investment

Own physical gold and silver outside a bank

Archive

j9TJzzN

350x200

Realtime Charts

 

Gold in USD:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

Gold in EUR:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

Silver in USD:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

Platinum in USD:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

USD - Index:

[Most Recent USD from www.kitco.com]

 

THE GOLD CARTEL: Government Intervention on Gold, the Mega Bubble in Paper and What This Means for Your Future

 
Buy Silver Now!
 
Buy Gold Now!
 

Oilprice.com