EU Skepticism Still Growing in Germany

The recent state election in the Free State of Saxony already indicated as much: EU-skepticism is alive and well in Germany, even with the imminent threat from the EU’s sovereign debt and banking crisis on the back-burner.

This has now been further confirmed by the release of an Emnid survey (Emnid is a large polling company in Germany, comparable to Gallup), according to which 22% of German voters can imagine voting for the AdF (“Alternative für Deutschland”), an EU-skeptic party formed in February of 2013).

Note here that “could imagine to vote for” is not the same as “would vote for if the election were held tomorrow” – based on that, the party would receive only 6% of the nation-wide vote, which is however a clear improvement over the actual result in the last parliamentary election. Note that the party received 7% in the European election, which was a quite respectable, though not sensational result.

 

eu-wahl_hr00.05

European election 2014: the AfD received a respectable 7% of the vote

 

If the party plays its cards right, it could be well on the way to transforming itself from a much derided fringe party into a major political force. In many ways, its ascent seems comparable to that of UKIP in the UK. Given that the survey was concluded on September 3, the most recent ECB decision hasn’t influenced the result, so it should be expected that support for the AfD has in the meantime solidified further. Apart from a handful of ivory tower Keynesian economists, no-one in Germany is in favor of more money printing by the ECB.

As in many other countries, the major hot button issue is unfortunately the populist topic of immigration restrictions, something the party is likely to emphasize in light of its popularity with voters. However, other major planks of the party’s program apparently also resonate with German voters. Here is an overview of some of the survey responses regarding prominent AfD issues and the party itself:

 

83% of respondents agree that immigration must be subject to strict rules

45% of respondents agree that as a general principle, families with three children (which the AfD propagates) would be a good thing

33% believe Germany doesn’t need the euro

23% expect the party to play an important role in German politics in the future, 71% still disagree with that notion

64% disagree with the assertion that the AfD is a far-right party, 17% agree.

 

To the above we would note that the while the AfD certainly represents “bourgeois” viewpoints, it is definitely not a “far right” party. The mainstream press tried to stick it with this label based on its stance on immigration, a fate also suffered by UKIP. However, there is a strong qualitative difference between parties like UKIP and the AfD and France’s Front National (FN), which can genuinely be classified as being “far right”.

It is noteworthy in this context that UKIP refused to join a coalition with the FN in Brussels, in spite of the fact that this potentially meant passing on millions in euros in funding (however, UKIP eventually managed to form the Europe of Freedom and Democracy faction, by snatching a defector from the FN). The AfD likewise is not in the same faction in Brussels as the FN, but is part of the European Conservatives and Reformists group, which includes the UK’s Tories (incidentally, as Mish reports, the FN’s leader Marine Le Pen would win in a presidential election against Mr. Hollande if it were held today).

 

Conclusion:

There is considerable political push-back against the EU’s centralizers now. Even if EU-skeptical parties are unable to gain majorities, their growing support is likely to influence the policies of mainstream parties. Established parties must fear that they their support will erode more and more. In Germany, the once strong social democrats (SPD) have already become a smallish party (recent survey see its support crumbling ever further), while the FDP (liberals), a small party that has been a mainstay of post WW 2 Germany, has almost been wiped out. Whether this will lastingly influence the centralization process and weaken the powers of Brussels remains to be seen, but it is a start.

 

3-format20AfD leader Bernd Lücke in front of an election poster. The inscription reads: “Draghi gambles, you pay”.

(Photo credit: DPA)

 

 
 

Emigrate While You Can... Learn More

 
 

 
 

Dear Readers!

It is that time of the year again – our semi-annual funding drive begins today. Give us a little hand in offsetting the costs of running this blog, as advertising revenue alone is insufficient. You can help us reach our modest funding goal by donating either via paypal or bitcoin. Those of you who have made a ton of money based on some of the things we have said in these pages (we actually made a few good calls lately!), please feel free to up your donations accordingly (we are sorry if you have followed one of our bad calls. This is of course your own fault). Other than that, we can only repeat that donations to this site are apt to secure many benefits. These range from sound sleep, to children including you in their songs, to the potential of obtaining privileges in the afterlife (the latter cannot be guaranteed, but it seems highly likely). As always, we are greatly honored by your readership and hope that our special mixture of entertainment and education is adding a little value to your life!

   

Bitcoin address: 1DRkVzUmkGaz9xAP81us86zzxh5VMEhNke

   
 

One Response to “German Opinion Poll: 22% Can Imagine Voting for AfD”

  • John Galt III:

    Immigration in Europe is twofold. Germans don’t object to Poles coming to Germany by EU rules to learn the language and work. They do object to Muslims moving in, not working, taking advantage of the welfare benefits and then walling off parts of German cities to outsiders who don’t believe in Sharia. You have to be barking mad to want your cities to be like this, but the left in all European countries have no problem with this. Why? Muslims are the most hard core leftist voting bloc there is. When Hollande won, he got 93% of the Muslim vote. See page 9

    http://opinionlab.opinion-way.com/dokumenty/Sondage_jour_de_vote_T2_SOCIOLOGIE_DU_VOTE_2_1.pdf

    Every European country has similar voting results. Don’t think Obama doesn’t understand this. Hence the open Mexican border and the State Department claiming every Muslim is a “political refugee”.

Your comment:

You must be logged in to post a comment.

Most read in the last 20 days:

  • snake-charmerGold Price Skyrockets in India after Currency Ban – Part III
      When Money Dies In part-I of the dispatch we talked about what happened during the first two days after Indian Prime Minister, Narendra Modi banned Rs 500 and Rs 1000 banknotes, comprising of 88% of the monetary value of cash in circulation. In part-II, we talked about the scenes, chaos, desperation, and massive loss of productive capacity that this ban had led to over the next few days.   Indian prime minister Narendra Modi – another finger-wagger, as can be seen in this...
  • wads-of-cashGold Price Skyrockets in India after Currency Ban – Part II
      Chaos in the Wake of the Ban Here is a link to Part 1, about what happened in the first two days after India's government made Rs 500 (~$7.50) and Rs 1,000 (~$15) banknotes illegal. They can now only be converted to Rs 100 (~$1.50) or lower denomination notes, at bank branches or post offices. Banks were closed the first day after the decision. What follows is the crux of what has happened over the subsequent four days.     India's prime minister Nahendra Modi, author of the...
  • shopGold Price Skyrockets in India after Currency Ban – Part IV
      A Market Gripped by Fear The Indian Prime Minister announced on 8th November 2016 that Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 banknotes would no longer be legal tender. Linked are Part-I, Part-II and Part-III updates on the rapidly encroaching police state. The economic and social mess that Modi has created is unprecedented. It will go down in history as an epitome of naivety and arrogance due to Modi’s self-centered desire to increase tax-collection at any cost.   Indian jewelry...
  • very-bad-boyA Note on Gold and India – What is Driving the Gold Price?
      Hidden Motives It is well-known that India's government wants to coerce its population into “modernizing” its financial behavior and abandoning its traditions. The recent ban on large-denomination banknotes was not only meant to fight corruption.   Obviously, this very bad Indian has way too much cash. Just look at him, he looks suspicious! Photo via thenewsminute.com   In fact, as our friend Jayant Bhandari has pointed out, fresh avenues for corruption ...
  • gold-pm-fixIndia's Currency Debacle – An Interview with Jayant Bhandari
      A Major Crisis Last week Jayant Bhandari related the story of the overnight ban of certain banknotes in India under cover of “stamping out corruption” (see Gold Price Skyrockets In India after Currency Ban Part 1 and Part 2 for the details).   Banned 500 rupee banknotes   The problem is inter alia that the sudden ban of these banknotes has hit the Indian economy quite hard, given that 97% of all transactions in the country are cash-based. Not only that, it has...
  • vigilantesWill the Swamp Swallow Trump?
      Permanently Skewed TRUMP HOTEL, New York – Trump’s rambling army – professionals, amateurs, camp followers, and profiteers – is marching south, down the I-95 corridor. There, on the banks of the Potomac, it will fight its next big battle.   Lieutenants in Trump's army: Bannon, Flynn & Sessions Photo credit: Drew Angerer / AFP   Here at the Diary, we do not like to get involved in politics. But this is a special time in the history of our planet – a...
  • santorinigreeceThere Are Two Types of Credit — One of Them Leads to Booms and Busts
      Stumped by the Bust In the slump of a cycle, businesses that were thriving begin to experience difficulties or go under. They do so not because of firm-specific entrepreneurial errors but rather in tandem with whole sectors of the economy. People who were wealthy yesterday have become poor today. Factories that were busy yesterday are shut down today, and workers are out of jobs.   What has caused the bust? The modern-day economic orthodoxy continues to be unable to provide...
  • train-to-hellAll Aboard! Trump’s Express Train to the Future
      Free Money! BALTIMORE – Last week, the Dow punched up above 19,000 – a new all-time record. And on Monday, the Dow, the S&P 500, the Nasdaq, and the small-cap Russell 2000 each hit new all-time highs. The last time that happened was on the last day of December 1999.   Ironically, two events that were almost universally expected to trigger large stock market declines were followed by quite rapid and strong gains. Would the market have fallen if Hillary Clinton had won...
  • jumpAttaining Self-Destruct Velocity
      Bad Monday Some Monday mornings are better than others.  Others are worse than some.  For one Amazon employee, this past Monday morning was particularly bad. No doubt, the poor fellow would have been better off he’d called in sick to work.  Such a simple decision would have saved him from extreme agony.  But, unfortunately, he showed up at Amazon’s Seattle headquarters and put on a public and painful display of madness.   Good-bye cruel world! On this our planet,...
  • yellen_duct_tape_7-16-2014_largeGold Bull Market Remains Intact – Long Term Fundamentals Outweigh Short Term Market Gyrations
      A Strong First Half of the Year, Followed by Another Retreat In early 2016 gold had a big bull run. The precious metal rose close to 25% this year, pushed higher in a summer rally that peaked on July 10th. Gold experienced a bumpy ride over the remainder of the summer though, as investors became increasingly concerned about a potential rate hike by the Federal Reserve. Uncertainty returned to gold market and has intensified further since then.   Initially, gold rallied sharply...
  • david_stockman_0Too Early for “Inflation Bets”?
      The Trump Trade After 35 years of waiting... so many false signals... so often deceived... so often disappointed... bond bears gathered on rooftops as though awaiting the Second Coming. Many times, investors have said to themselves, “This is it! This is the end of the Great Bull Market in Bonds!”   The long bond's long cycle – red rectangles indicate when the post 1980 bull market was held to be “over” or “over for sure” or “100% over”, etc.  We have...
  • workers-powerAbout that Economic Inequality
      Illusory Riches, Obvious Impoverishment I address this essay to two groups. One group is those among the liberty movement, who believe that there’s nothing wrong with inequality. These are often Objectivists, who unknowingly defend a regime that artificially suppresses working people.   And suddenly, you feel much lighter...   The other group is those among the Left who still call themselves liberals. They say they don’t like inequality, but nevertheless...

Austrian Theory and Investment

Support Acting Man

Own physical gold and silver outside a bank

Archive

j9TJzzN

350x200

Realtime Charts

 

Gold in USD:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

Gold in EUR:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

Silver in USD:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

Platinum in USD:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

USD - Index:

[Most Recent USD from www.kitco.com]

 

THE GOLD CARTEL: Government Intervention on Gold, the Mega Bubble in Paper and What This Means for Your Future

 
Buy Silver Now!
 
Buy Gold Now!
 

Oilprice.com