More on Mega Bulk Sales
Yesterday, FHFA announced the long awaited first Mega Bulk Sales of REO properties in the hardest hit areas – see (pdf)
I can summarize the program for you: mega stupid.
th an idea?" To those, here is what I offer: just reduce the price of all the properties on the list by 20% and watch them fly off the shelves. By the way, a 20% discount is probably unnecessary and the resulting price would be in any event much much more than what FHFA can possibly expect from a bulk buyer.
I know there are some of you who demand more details, so here is a little more detail.
These are the properties:
Summary of properties sold in bulk sale – click table for better resolution.
As you can see, the bulk consists of 2,490 properties spread over six states. Within the states, it is further divided into areas such as Los Angeles/Riverside, or West, South, Central Florida. Using the , you can search the cities/counties and have an idea what these properties look like. How do you expect the buyers to have efficiency of scale with this hodgepodge of junk scattered all over the country?
The agencies reportedly have over 200,000 REOs, not counting those stuck in the robo-signing black hole. This bulk sale above is a whopping 1.2% of the total inventory. Repeat this exercise 100 times and problem solved, right?
As for value, the entire bulk sale is probably worth less than $100 million, which really does not even qualify as a "bulk" in today's financial terms. As rentals, only the inexperienced would confuse these assets with a more conventional rental, like an apartment building. Please check out my previous post on the topic for details (Mega Bulk Sales, A Lose-Lose Proposition?). These properties are simply not suitable for a bulk buyer.
There's more. What would a government be if there were no red tape. Take a look at (pdf) for bidders.
It makes one wonder if they really want to sell REOs or just create some jobs for bureaucrats.
As I concluded in my previous post on the mega bulk sales idea:
“In conclusion, any mega bulk sales by the GSEs would certainly be a big loss for taxpayers. If the mega bulk buyers think they are going to rip off the country the same way their predecessors did during the RTC giveaway, they may be in for a big surprise. They may eventually find themselves holding cans of worms all over the most undesirable markets.
As for the real estate market, I have no idea what mega bulk sales will do to the already depressed metro areas. They could prove to be very destabilizing. Maybe they will turn out to be the last straw that breaks the camel's back.“
I think I am going to end this rant with an apposite song:
Addendum: A Little Follow-Up
Last update: 2/29/2012 9:09:50 AM (MORE TO FOLLOW) Dow Jones Newswires (212-416-2400) February 29, 2012 09:09 ET (14:09 GMT)
So the mega bulk sale is for 2500 properties. At this pace, it will take 19 mega bulk sales to get rid of one quarter of REOs.
In the meantime, Reuters reports:
“Fannie Mae Will Request $ 4.571B Of Funds From Treasury”
Fannie Mae (FNMA.OB), the biggest source of money for U.S. home loans, said on Wednesday it would seek $4.6 billion in additional federal aid after reporting a fourth-quarter loss.
Earlier on Wednesday, the government-controlled mortgage finance company posted a loss of $2.4 billion for the quarter ended December 31. That pushed Fannie Mae's loss for 2011 to $16.9 billion from $14.0 billion a year earlier, the company said.
Fannie Mae's pre-2009 book of soured loans and declining home prices continue to make it difficult for the company to turn a profit.
"We think that we have reserved for and recognized substantially all of the credit losses associated with the legacy book," Chief Financial Officer Susan McFarland said in an interview.
The government seized Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which together back roughly half of all outstanding U.S. mortgages, in September 2008 as losses from failing home loans threatened the agencies' solvency.
Fannie Mae has borrowed more than $116 billion from the government and paid almost $20 billion in the form of dividends. [that makes a lot of sense, ed.]
"We're very focused on returning to profitability so we don't have to draw (from Treasury) to cover operating losses," said McFarland, who is also an executive vice president.”
It is that time of the year again – our semi-annual funding drive begins today. Give us a little hand in offsetting the costs of running this blog, as advertising revenue alone is insufficient. You can help us reach our modest funding goal by donating either via paypal or bitcoin. Those of you who have made a ton of money based on some of the things we have said in these pages (we actually made a few good calls lately!), please feel free to up your donations accordingly (we are sorry if you have followed one of our bad calls. This is of course your own fault). Other than that, we can only repeat that donations to this site are apt to secure many benefits. These range from sound sleep, to children including you in their songs, to the potential of obtaining privileges in the afterlife (the latter cannot be guaranteed, but it seems highly likely). As always, we are greatly honored by your readership and hope that our special mixture of entertainment and education is adding a little value to your life!
Bitcoin address: 1DRkVzUmkGaz9xAP81us86zzxh5VMEhNke
One Response to “More on Mega Bulk Sales”
Most read in the last 20 days:
- Gold Price Skyrockets in India after Currency Ban – Part III
When Money Dies In part-I of the dispatch we talked about what happened during the first two days after Indian Prime Minister, Narendra Modi banned Rs 500 and Rs 1000 banknotes, comprising of 88% of the monetary value of cash in circulation. In part-II, we talked about the scenes, chaos, desperation, and massive loss of productive capacity that this ban had led to over the next few days. Indian prime minister Narendra Modi – another finger-wagger, as can be seen in this...
- Gold Price Skyrockets in India after Currency Ban – Part II
Chaos in the Wake of the Ban Here is a link to Part 1, about what happened in the first two days after India's government made Rs 500 (~$7.50) and Rs 1,000 (~$15) banknotes illegal. They can now only be converted to Rs 100 (~$1.50) or lower denomination notes, at bank branches or post offices. Banks were closed the first day after the decision. What follows is the crux of what has happened over the subsequent four days. India's prime minister Nahendra Modi, author of the...
- Gold Price Skyrockets in India after Currency Ban – Part IV
A Market Gripped by Fear The Indian Prime Minister announced on 8th November 2016 that Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 banknotes would no longer be legal tender. Linked are Part-I, Part-II and Part-III updates on the rapidly encroaching police state. The economic and social mess that Modi has created is unprecedented. It will go down in history as an epitome of naivety and arrogance due to Modi’s self-centered desire to increase tax-collection at any cost. Indian jewelry...
- A Note on Gold and India – What is Driving the Gold Price?
Hidden Motives It is well-known that India's government wants to coerce its population into “modernizing” its financial behavior and abandoning its traditions. The recent ban on large-denomination banknotes was not only meant to fight corruption. Obviously, this very bad Indian has way too much cash. Just look at him, he looks suspicious! Photo via thenewsminute.com In fact, as our friend Jayant Bhandari has pointed out, fresh avenues for corruption ...
- Will Trump Do What Reagan Couldn’t?
Depravity and Degeneration BALTIMORE – Finally, it’s over. We were both delighted and appalled by the news. A smile spread over our face... and our steps lightened... as we looked ahead to four years without Hillary Clinton’s know-it-all mug in the news. Praise be! This mug will be largely missing from the airwaves and the intertubes in coming years. And your caption scribbler PT won't have to look for a fall-out shelter! We thank the Lord and the American public for...
- India's Currency Debacle – An Interview with Jayant Bhandari
A Major Crisis Last week Jayant Bhandari related the story of the overnight ban of certain banknotes in India under cover of “stamping out corruption” (see Gold Price Skyrockets In India after Currency Ban Part 1 and Part 2 for the details). Banned 500 rupee banknotes The problem is inter alia that the sudden ban of these banknotes has hit the Indian economy quite hard, given that 97% of all transactions in the country are cash-based. Not only that, it has...
- Inflation Expectations Rise Sharply
Mini-Panic Over Inflation After Trump's Election Victory We have witnessed truly astonishing short term market conniptions following the Donald Trump's election victory. In this post we want to focus on one aspect that seems to be exercising people quite a bit at present, namely the recent surge in inflation expectations reflected in the markets. Will we have to get those WIN buttons out again? A 1970s “whip inflation now” button. The only thing that was actually needed...
- Will the Swamp Swallow Trump?
Permanently Skewed TRUMP HOTEL, New York – Trump’s rambling army – professionals, amateurs, camp followers, and profiteers – is marching south, down the I-95 corridor. There, on the banks of the Potomac, it will fight its next big battle. Lieutenants in Trump's army: Bannon, Flynn & Sessions Photo credit: Drew Angerer / AFP Here at the Diary, we do not like to get involved in politics. But this is a special time in the history of our planet – a...
- There Are Two Types of Credit — One of Them Leads to Booms and Busts
Stumped by the Bust In the slump of a cycle, businesses that were thriving begin to experience difficulties or go under. They do so not because of firm-specific entrepreneurial errors but rather in tandem with whole sectors of the economy. People who were wealthy yesterday have become poor today. Factories that were busy yesterday are shut down today, and workers are out of jobs. What has caused the bust? The modern-day economic orthodoxy continues to be unable to provide...
- All Aboard! Trump’s Express Train to the Future
Free Money! BALTIMORE – Last week, the Dow punched up above 19,000 – a new all-time record. And on Monday, the Dow, the S&P 500, the Nasdaq, and the small-cap Russell 2000 each hit new all-time highs. The last time that happened was on the last day of December 1999. Ironically, two events that were almost universally expected to trigger large stock market declines were followed by quite rapid and strong gains. Would the market have fallen if Hillary Clinton had won...
- Gold Bull Market Remains Intact – Long Term Fundamentals Outweigh Short Term Market Gyrations
A Strong First Half of the Year, Followed by Another Retreat In early 2016 gold had a big bull run. The precious metal rose close to 25% this year, pushed higher in a summer rally that peaked on July 10th. Gold experienced a bumpy ride over the remainder of the summer though, as investors became increasingly concerned about a potential rate hike by the Federal Reserve. Uncertainty returned to gold market and has intensified further since then. Initially, gold rallied sharply...
- Too Early for “Inflation Bets”?
The Trump Trade After 35 years of waiting... so many false signals... so often deceived... so often disappointed... bond bears gathered on rooftops as though awaiting the Second Coming. Many times, investors have said to themselves, “This is it! This is the end of the Great Bull Market in Bonds!” The long bond's long cycle – red rectangles indicate when the post 1980 bull market was held to be “over” or “over for sure” or “100% over”, etc. We have...